The SAR_mm, SAR_mf, SAR_fm and SAR_ff estimated by model from 2005 to 2017 in Hubei. SAR: secondary attack rate; subscript mm, among male; mf, from male to female; fm, from female to male; ff, among female

Transmissibility in numerous gender–a long time

The top five values of the transmission relative rate, as indicated in Fig. 14 were ?₆₁ (mean: 5.76 ? 10 -8 , 95% CI: 3.96 ? 10 ? 8 to 7.56 ? 10 -8 ), ?₃₁ (mean: 5.32 ? 10 -8 , 95% CI: 3.91 ? 10 -8 to 6.74 ? 10 -8 ), ?₃₄ (mean: 4.01 ? 10 -8 , 95% CI: 3.19 ? 10 -8 to 4.84 ? 10 -8 ), ?₆₂ (mean: 7.52 ? 10 -9 , 95% CI: 3.23 ? 10 -9 to 1.18 ? 10 -8 ) and ?₆₄ (mean: 6.04 ? 10 -9 , 95% CI: 2.41 ? 10 -9 to 9.67 ? 10 -9 ).

The transmission relative rate in different age and gender groups in 2010. ?₀: transmission relative rate within female; ?_ij refers to transmission relative rate of gender and age group from i to j, i and j represent subscript 1 to 6, subscript 1 was defined as male and ? 5 years old, 2 was male and between 6 to 59 years old, 3 was male and ? 60 years old, 4 was female and ? 5 years old, 5 was female and between 6 to 59 years old, and 6 was female and ? 60 years old; The data of 2010 were divided into 22 stages based on the following simulated periods, 1: from January 1 to 22, 2: from January 23 to February 5, 3: from February 6 to 18, 4: from February 19 to March 11, 5: from March 12 to 26, 6: from March 27 to April 14, 7: from April 15 to May 17, 8: from May 18 to 23, 9: from May 24 to June 11, 10: from June 12 to 25, 11: from June 26 to July 15, 12: from July 16 to 28, 13: from July 29 to August 23, 14: from August 24 to September 7, 15: from September 8 to 18, 16: from September 19 to October https://www.datingmentor.org/nl/swapfinder-overzicht 8, 17: from October 9 to November 2, 18: from November 3 to 15, 19: from November 16 to 23, 20: from November 24 to 30, 21: from December 1 to 18, 22: from December 19 to 31

Susceptibility research

According to the one thousand minutes that the design went, the fresh new design wasn’t sensitive to the fresh details br, dr, f, q and ?’. Exactly how many circumstances lay was basically a similar into the mean, suggest – simple deviation (SD) and you can imply + SD thinking (Fig. 15). Our very own model try moderate delicate with details ?, k and you may p (Fig. 16a,b,c). At the same time, higher sensitivity so you’re able to parameter ? (0.0741) try displayed, since the illustrated into the Fig. 16d.

This new awareness study off factor br, dr, f, q and you will ?’. A-male: br = 0.00002838; B-male: dr = 0.00001649; C-male: f = 0; D-male: q = 0.5135; E-male: ?’ = 0.0286; A-female: br = 0.00002838; B-female: dr = 0.00001649; C-female: f = 0; D-female: q = 0.5135; E-female: ?’ = 0.0286

The susceptibility analysis off factor ?, k, p and you may ?. A-male: ? = 1; B-male: k = 0.3125; C-male: p = 0.1; D-male: ? = 0.0741; A-female: ? = 1; B-female: k = 0.3125; C-female: p = 0.1; D-female: ? = 0.0741